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New COVID-19 Forecasts: US Hospitals Could Be Overwhelmed in the Second Week of April by Demand for

Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation - March 26, 2020


SEATTLE – In a forecast based on new data analyses, researchers find demand for ventilators and beds in US hospital intensive care units (ICUs) will far exceed capacity for COVID-19 patients as early as the second week of April. Deaths related to the current wave of COVID-19 in the US are likely to persist into July, even assuming people protect themselves and their communities by strongly adhering to social distancing measures and by taking other precautions advised by public health officials. 


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Media contacts Dean R. Owen, +1-206-434-5630 (mobile); dean1227@uw.edu Amelia Apfel, +1-206-359-5111 (mobile); arapfel@uw.edu Kelly Bienhoff, +1-913-302-3817 (mobile); kbien@uw.edu

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